ARES · NASA Johnson Space Center

Patrick M. Shober

Planetary scientist · NASA Postdoctoral Fellow, Johnson Space Center

I study how small bodies deliver material to Earth, finding meteorite falls in weather radar and tracing meteoroids back to the asteroids and comets they came from.

Meteorite-fall detectionPlanetary defenseSensor fusionFireball networksSmall-body dynamicsCarbonaceous material
Patrick M. Shober

I’m a planetary scientist in the Astromaterials Research and Exploration Science (ARES) division at NASA Johnson Space Center. My NASA Postdoctoral Fellowship builds machine-learning methods to automatically detect freshly fallen meteorites in the U.S. NEXRAD weather-radar network. It’s part of a broader goal of fusing radar, optical and infrasound data into a single picture of how meteoroids enter the atmosphere and reach the ground.

I specialise in the full chain from fireball → fall → meteorite, combining wide-field camera networks (DFN, FRIPON, the Global Fireball Observatory), small-body dynamics, and the physics of atmospheric entry. My work has shown that meteorite collections are a strongly filtered sample of what actually hits Earth, shaped by thermal fragmentation near the Sun and atmospheric survival (Nature Astronomy, 2025), and that most “comet-like” fireballs are in fact asteroidal interlopers. I earned my PhD at Curtin University (2022), have authored 28 peer-reviewed papers, and asteroid (33964) Patrickshober is named in recognition of this work.

Research

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Flagship · Nature Astronomy

Perihelion filtering & the meteorite record

Why meteorite collections are a thermally- and atmospherically-filtered subset of what actually reaches Earth, and where the carbonaceous chondrites went.

Small-body dynamics

Cometary ↔ asteroidal reservoir mixing

Most “comet-like” fireballs are asteroidal interlopers: long-term integrations show only ~1–5% of cm–m bodies on Jupiter-family orbits are dynamically cometary.

NASA · MetDetect

Sensor fusion & radar meteorite detection

Turning the NEXRAD weather-radar network into an automatic meteorite-fall detector, and working toward fusing radar, optical & infrasound to close the 10–100 m “decametric gap.”

FRIPON · GFO · DFN

Meteorite recovery & fireball networks

Fireball-network science across the full chain, from astrometry and orbits to drone- and ML-assisted recovery of fresh, orbit-bearing meteorites.

Selected publications

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Shober PM, Devillepoix HAR, Vaubaillon J, et al. (2025) Perihelion history and atmospheric survival as primary drivers of the Earth's meteorite record Nature Astronomy, 9, 799–812 DOIarXiv

Shober PM, Vaubaillon J, Anghel S, et al. (2026) Comparing the data-reduction pipelines of FRIPON, DFN, WMPL, and AMOS: the Geminids Astronomy & Astrophysics, 705, A65 DOI

Shober PM, Devillepoix HAR, Vaubaillon J, et al. (2025) What falls versus what we recover: quantifying search and recovery bias for orbital meteorites Meteoritics & Planetary Science, 60(10), 2488–2503 DOI

Shober PM (2026) Asteroidal activity amongst meteor datasets: a confirmed new “rock-comet” stream The Astrophysical Journal, 1000(2), 254 DOI

Shober PM, Jansen-Sturgeon T, Sansom EK, et al. (2019) Identification of a Minimoon Fireball The Astronomical Journal, 158(5), 183 DOIarXiv