ARES · NASA Johnson Space Center

Patrick M. Shober

Planetary scientist · NASA Postdoctoral Fellow, Johnson Space Center

Meteorites are most of what we know about how the solar system formed — and a biased sample of it. I work out what that bias is, using fireball cameras, weather radar and telescopic surveys.

Patrick M. Shober

Latest publications

Illustration of the two-step filter: thermal fragmentation near the Sun breaking apart dark primitive material, then fireballs burning through the atmosphere above a meteorite-strewn desert

Perihelion filtering and the meteorite record

Flagship result · Nature Astronomy 2025

Meteorite collections aren't a fair sample of what hits Earth. What survives to the ground is decided by an object's history close to the Sun, not only where it came from.

April 2025

All publications →

A little about me
and my work

I’m a planetary scientist at NASA Johnson Space Center, in the Astromaterials Research and Exploration Science (ARES) division. I study small bodies — asteroids and comets — to understand how the solar system formed and how it has changed since.

Most of what we know about that history comes from meteorites, and meteorites are a badly biased sample. We have the samples, but we don’t know how they were sampled. Before a rock reaches a collection it has to survive repeated close passes to the Sun, then atmospheric entry, then a search that has to find it, and each of those steps preferentially destroys a particular kind of material. Working out what that selection removes is what makes the samples interpretable.

Most of my work combines all-sky fireball camera networks with Doppler weather radar, and compares both against asteroids and comets observed telescopically. At NASA I’m using Bayesian methods to combine optical fireball observations with radar, which gives better dark-flight trajectories, better predictions of where meteorites land, and a clearer view of the fragmentation and ablation a rock goes through on the way down — all of which can be tied back to what telescopes saw before it arrived.

The goal is to make the whole sequence routine: observe an object in space, record its entry with cameras, radar, infrasound, seismometers and spectra, then recover pieces of it on the ground. That matters most for objects 10–100 m across, small enough for surveys to miss and large enough to do damage, so the same measurements that tell us how the solar system is put together also feed planetary defense.

I earned my PhD at Curtin University in 2022 with the Desert Fireball Network, spent two years at Paris Observatory, and asteroid (33964) Patrickshober is named after me.

From the field

Photos and animations from the fireball networks and recovery campaigns behind the papers

The Winchcombe fireball · All-sky camera view of the 2021 UK meteorite fall Video: UK Fireball Alliance
Two researchers kneeling beside a freshly recovered meteorite in the outback
Fresh from the sky · A DFN team recovers a newly fallen meteorite in the Australian outback Photo: Desert Fireball Network, Curtin University
M2026-A1, a newly confirmed meteor stream · 282 meteors from a stream shed by a disintegrating asteroid Animation: Shober 2026, ApJ
Gold FRIPON all-sky camera on a snowy mountain summit at dusk
Eyes on the sky · A FRIPON all-sky camera above the clouds at blue hour Photo: FRIPON / Vigie-Ciel
Drone view looking straight down at a researcher on an outback track
Searching from above · Drone-assisted searching on a DFN strewn field Photo: Desert Fireball Network, Curtin University
Rusted-steel Desert Fireball Network observatory with solar panel on red earth under blue sky
A camera on watch · A Desert Fireball Network camera station in the Nullarbor Photo: Desert Fireball Network, Curtin University
World map showing career moves between Cleveland, Perth, Paris, and Houston with fireball-network logos
Cleveland → Perth → Paris → Houston · One career, four cities
Radar reflectivity map of meteorite fragments detected over Osceola, Florida Interactive: see a fall in weather radar · MetDetect picks falling debris out of NEXRAD weather radar
My asteroid